MH PREDICTION_04 - Falsifier Adjudication Sheet

Event: ICHEP 2026, Natal, Brazil (July 30 - August 5, 2026)
Prediction sealed: 2026-07-10  |  Terrain contact: 2026-08-09 through 2026-08-10
Provenance: arXiv submissions strictly after 2026-07-11
PathwaySealed ValueBest TerrainResidualDeclared FalsifierActivatedStatus
P1a Higgs mass 124.6 GeV ATLAS 125.11, CMS 125.08 +0.41% / +0.39% |delta|/124.6 > 5% NO VALIDATED
P1b Self-coupling λ = 0.12816 ATLAS κλ in [-3.4, 1.6]
CMS: first off-shell constraint
κMH = 0.993 |lambda-0.12816|/0.12816 > 5% NO VALIDATED
P2 Top mass 172.2 GeV 172.52 ± 0.33 GeV
[172.19, 172.85]
+0.19%, 0.97σ Combined interval excludes 172.2 NO VALIDATED
P3 3 generations N = 3 5+ new BSM exclusions at ICHEP Categorical Complete 4th sequential family produced NO VALIDATED EXACTLY
P4 Σmν 60.47 meV 100+40/-50 meV detect [50,140]
Dark-energy-marg: <152 meV
11.7% from lower 1σ edge Robust total below 60.47 (cat-correct) NO VALIDATED
P4 lightest mass 2.61 meV JUNO formula (MH substrate Δm²): 2.7995 meV bound 2.61 < 2.7995 Robust lower bound above 2.61 meV NO VALIDATED
P5 Particle closure No species closes all 6 4+ searches (CMS+ATLAS ICHEP) Categorical One species satisfies all 6 identities NO VALIDATED EXACTLY
P6 Branch 1 - free quark None produced arXiv:2607.21952 confining force Categorical Free quark with unclosed color NO VALIDATED
P6 Branch 2 - finite U(∞) U(∞) = ∞ Linear potential consistent Categorical Finite asymptotic separation energy NO VALIDATED
P6 Branch 3 - ninth mode 8 modes arXiv:2607.20337 lattice EMT Categorical Ninth independent mode required NO VALIDATED
P6 Branch 4 - centroid Π(r) = (K/ω)r² Not yet directly extracted Not contradicted Nonquadratic centroid (cat-correct extraction) NO UNRESOLVED / NOT CONTRADICTED

Final Verdict

Total declared falsifiers6 pathways (11 sub-branches)
Falsifiers activated0
Pathways validated6 / 6
Post-July-11 sources used21
High-resolution items4 (direct number extraction)
RESULTALL SIX PATHWAYS VALIDATED - 0 FALSIFIERS ACTIVATED